Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 23.453054 26.630692 30.102189 34.179777 38.842778 44.014222 50.191962
2025-01-19 18.172084 22.349651 27.308123 33.642516 41.541953 51.097349 63.576803
2025-01-26 15.446653 20.273011 26.402835 34.794326 46.039020 60.664750 81.258376
2025-02-02 13.698452 18.987555 26.099648 36.424561 51.136248 71.503263 102.112005
2025-02-09 12.043056 17.489769 25.180601 36.924892 54.572973 80.369188 121.416597
2025-02-16 10.421964 15.760721 23.626595 36.181504 55.950293 86.266321 137.016941
2025-02-23 9.159075 14.363628 22.330908 35.566624 57.310630 92.146531 153.240430
2025-03-02 8.157327 13.224344 21.257463 35.102077 58.753952 98.212407 170.473881
2025-03-09 7.408509 12.387505 20.543253 35.091572 60.876987 105.570542 190.847257
2025-03-16 6.749331 11.614194 19.829062 34.961807 62.723973 112.604742 211.539856
2025-03-23 6.412239 11.348217 19.935000 36.260505 67.245851 124.931377 243.834604
2025-03-30 5.954154 10.812709 19.499472 36.503741 69.808663 133.892988 270.811439
2025-04-06 5.360053 9.982138 18.470581 35.569169 70.112198 138.780837 290.806830
2025-04-13 4.896275 9.345819 17.734702 35.114673 71.313886 145.630107 316.068480
2025-04-20 4.682748 9.165840 17.847853 36.361449 76.151001 160.597801 361.478556
2025-04-27 4.536793 9.101368 18.176775 38.085866 82.219308 179.014565 417.778720
2025-05-04 4.280380 8.783765 17.957365 38.616710 85.746732 192.323209 464.275968
2025-05-11 3.927379 8.227398 17.182659 37.839861 86.221390 198.746292 494.995324
2025-05-18 3.622419 7.741352 16.505053 37.196200 86.913009 205.755115 528.349689
2025-05-25 3.360353 7.321581 15.926843 36.709572 87.909457 213.622946 565.270712
2025-06-01 3.159101 7.016229 15.569916 36.698689 90.062664 224.646412 612.603719
2025-06-08 2.966344 6.710649 15.180674 36.562710 91.882400 235.070161 660.090701
2025-06-15 2.889993 6.666254 15.389636 37.924149 97.734471 256.883852 744.275294